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Highest ROI Pop Culture trades on Polymarket

The biggest return-multiple trades that hit — someone took a long-shot position and it paid. Ranked by ROI (realized profit ÷ gross traded notional), from every resolved position on-chain. Click any trader to explore their full history.

Top trade
as…r2 made $16.0K on $696.81 of gross traded notional
23.0× ROI
Resolved within
#TraderMarketEntryNotionalProfitROIResolved
1as…r2Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Pop Culture · Music4.2¢$696.81+$16.0K23.0×May 17, 2026
2go…25Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?Pop Culture · Movies5.1¢$823.71+$15.5K18.8×Apr 28, 2026
30x…EeWill d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Pop Culture · Celebrities5.2¢$10.7K+$194.5K18.3×Dec 8, 2025
4v…eWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Pop Culture · Music5.3¢$543.88+$9.8K18.0×May 17, 2026
5Th…77Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Pop Culture · Music5.3¢$767.44+$13.6K17.7×May 17, 2026
60x…71Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Pop Culture · Tweet counts4.5¢$2.0K+$35.7K17.7×Feb 10, 2026
7di…ntWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Pop Culture · Gaming5.4¢$764.57+$13.3K17.4×Aug 13, 2026
81w…usWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16?Pop Culture · Celebrities2.4¢$505.99+$8.1K16.0×Jul 17, 2026
9vc…e4Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Pop Culture · Tweet counts6.0¢$825.77+$13.0K15.7×Oct 30, 2026
100x…ffWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Pop Culture · Tweet counts0.23¢$790.70+$12.2K15.4×Aug 21, 2026
11t…mWill Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Pop Culture · Music6.3¢$629.99+$9.4K14.9×May 17, 2026
12He…92Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Pop Culture · Music5.9¢$748.67+$10.4K13.8×May 17, 2026
13Us…41Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?Pop Culture · Tweet counts7.0¢$560.00+$7.4K13.3×Jan 23, 2026
140x…13Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?Pop Culture · Tweet counts7.6¢$516.00+$6.2K12.1×Nov 14, 2025
15du…axWill The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?Pop Culture · Music7.7¢$615.00+$7.4K12.0×Dec 3, 2025
16Br…keWill It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Pop Culture · Movies7.8¢$502.90+$5.9K11.8×Jan 22, 2026
170x9c…42Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 59 million views on day 5?Pop Culture · Creators & streaming8.0¢$556.17+$6.4K11.5×May 21, 2026
180x…71Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?Pop Culture · Tweet counts7.3¢$879.51+$9.9K11.3×Dec 30, 2025
190x…87Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Pop Culture · Tweet counts7.2¢$946.29+$10.6K11.2×Jan 2, 2026
20sk…chWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Pop Culture · Music8.3¢$24.2K+$264.7K10.9×May 17, 2026
210x5a…b7Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Pop Culture · Music8.4¢$2.7K+$30.1K10.9×May 17, 2026
22Ca…byWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Pop Culture · Music8.4¢$515.73+$5.6K10.9×May 17, 2026
23Bi…yGWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?Pop Culture · Tweet counts8.5¢$534.25+$5.7K10.7×Aug 19, 2026
24dd…psWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?Pop Culture · Tweet counts8.8¢$791.45+$8.2K10.3×Dec 30, 2025
25Go…erWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Pop Culture · Creators & streaming7.6¢$1.0K+$10.5K10.2×Jan 8, 2026
26Sn…erWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14?Pop Culture · Gaming9.2¢$613.31+$6.1K9.9×Aug 13, 2026
27cr…orWill Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Pop Culture · Music9.3¢$1.0K+$9.8K9.7×May 17, 2026
28X…vWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Pop Culture · Music9.4¢$575.12+$5.6K9.7×May 17, 2026
29A…nWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Pop Culture · Gaming8.8¢$661.12+$6.3K9.6×Aug 13, 2026
3010…seWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Pop Culture · Tweet counts9.6¢$524.68+$4.9K9.4×Jan 2, 2026
31Sc…ooWill LaGuardia Airport (LGA) be open to departures by 2:00 PM ET on March 23, 2026?Pop Culture9.7¢$1.6K+$14.8K9.3×Mar 23, 2026
32Al…roWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?Pop Culture · Tweet counts6.9¢$1.8K+$16.9K9.3×Feb 9, 2026
33Xp…erWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Pop Culture · Creators & streaming10.0¢$539.53+$4.9K9.0×Jan 8, 2026
34dd…psWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?Pop Culture · Tweet counts10.2¢$609.99+$5.4K8.8×Feb 20, 2026
35dd…psWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Pop Culture · Tweet counts10.2¢$610.00+$5.4K8.8×Feb 10, 2026
36an…ieWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Pop Culture · Tweet counts3.8¢$524.14+$4.6K8.7×Jan 2, 2026
37sa…agWill "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)Pop Culture · Movies9.8¢$1.9K+$16.8K8.7×Dec 23, 2025
38tu…c8Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?Pop Culture · Tweet counts10.3¢$1.1K+$9.8K8.7×Apr 1, 2026
39el…89Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Pop Culture · Tweet counts10.0¢$1.3K+$10.9K8.6×Jan 6, 2026
40du…osWill Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?Pop Culture · Tweet counts10.5¢$835.00+$7.1K8.5×Jun 1, 2026
41mm…usWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?Pop Culture · Tweet counts9.9¢$921.40+$7.7K8.4×Jan 30, 2026
420x…71Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?Pop Culture · Tweet counts10.9¢$560.08+$4.6K8.2×Aug 19, 2026
43Th…24Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Pop Culture · Tweet counts10.9¢$599.93+$4.9K8.2×Dec 5, 2025
44V…aWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?Pop Culture · Tweet counts2.0¢$1.5K+$11.9K8.1×Dec 30, 2025

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ROI = realized profit ÷ gross traded notional on a single resolved position — the denominator is the Notional column (buy cost basis plus sell proceeds), not the cost basis. Profit is gross of fees. Past performance does not predict future results. Not financial advice.